Japanese TCG Market Intelligence
Japanese Charizard ex SAR Market Price
Pokémon Card 151 (sv2a) · #201/165 · Raw / Ungraded
Condition scope: Raw onlySep 6, 2026, 11:46 PM JST
Labeled Japan sold refs for #201/165: n=107 (30d), Recent Sold Median ¥50,000. Active listings (set-scoped shopping, damage/sealed filtered): n=5, median ¥99,800. Listed vs sold spread ≈ +99.6% (not blended into one median). TCGPlayer Foil market price (JP #201/165 product): $393.22 (eBay sold filter still login-walled). Mixed-hub avgYen/history are never used for this SKU.
Current Market Reference
Japan sold median → USD → US market → gap → confidence → signal → landed cost
Japan · Sold Median
¥50,000
≈ $320.16
US Market
$393.22
Market Gap
+18.6%
Confidence
MODERATE
Market Signal
77/100
Based on 107 Japan sold price points · Updated Sep 6, 2026, 11:46 PM JST
Market Snapshot
Japan · Recent Sold Median
¥50,000
≈ $320.16
Sold refs: 107 · Active listings median ¥99,800 (n=5)
US · TCGplayer Market
$393.22
TCGPlayer Foil Market Price (JP #201/165)
Market Gap
+18.6%
Price comparison only. Does not account for shipping, taxes, proxy fees, or condition differences.
FX ≈ ¥156.17 / $1 · rate as of 2026-09-06
Data Confidence: MODERATE
| Type | Meaning |
|---|---|
| Sold | Completed / sold comps we can label (JP sold median uses these only) |
| Listed | Active asking prices — never blended into Sold Median |
| Market Reference | US shop / marketplace reference (e.g. TCGplayer) — not JP sold |
| Historical | Past observations for trend only — not a live quote |
Japan
- mercari — sold: 60
- rakuma — sold: 25
- yahoo_auctions — sold: 22
- rakuten — active listings: 4
- yahoo_shopping — active listings: 1
- Recent Sold Median from 107 labeled sold refs (not hub avgYen)
US
- eBay Sold — 0
- eBay Listing ref — 0
- TCGplayer Market — 1
Why MODERATE?
- HIGH needs Japan sold n ≥ 10, US ref n ≥ 8, and observation ≤ 24h.
- Sold and Listed are never blended into one median.
- Raw and graded are never mixed.
- Missing US prices stay empty — never invented.
- Current: JP sold n=107, active n=5, US ref n=1.
Price History
Japan sold-median (JPY + USD) · US reference (USD)
- 2026-08-24: JP ¥52,800 / $338.09 · US —
- 2026-08-25: JP ¥51,000 / $326.57 · US —
- 2026-08-26: JP ¥62,400 / $399.56 · US —
- 2026-08-27: JP ¥57,050 / $365.31 · US —
- 2026-08-28: JP ¥50,500 / $323.37 · US —
- 2026-08-29: JP ¥50,500 / $323.37 · US —
- 2026-08-30: JP ¥49,999 / $320.16 · US —
- 2026-08-31: JP ¥55,000 / $352.18 · US —
- 2026-09-01: JP ¥39,999 / $256.12 · US —
- 2026-09-02: JP ¥50,000 / $320.16 · US —
- 2026-09-03: JP ¥59,500 / $381.00 · US —
- 2026-09-04: JP ¥52,000 / $332.97 · US $412.00
- 2026-09-05: JP ¥77,878 / $498.67 · US —
- 2026-09-06: JP ¥50,000 / $320.16 · US $393.22
7-day change: +0.0%30-day change: -47.2%
Market Gap
+18.6%
Price comparison only. Does not account for shipping, taxes, proxy fees, or condition differences.
Japan · Listed vs Sold spread
+99.6%
Active listing median ¥99,800 vs sold median ¥50,000. Display only — Sold and Listed are never blended.
Landed Cost Simulator
Research tool — not a profit calculator. Single-card defaults match landed-cost-core (core total $334.98).
Total landed
$334.98
Cost / card
$334.98
vs US ref (batch)
−$58.24
Landed below US ref (fees included)
FX ≈ ¥156.17 / $1 · rate as of 2026-09-06 · Card line uses Recent Sold Median ¥50,000
Market Signal
Ana Score · observed conditions only
77 / 100
Interesting
Price trend25/25
7D +0.0% · 30D -47.2% (Japan sold median)
Liquidity20/20
30-day Japan sold observations: 107
Price stability14/20
Recent Japan sold dispersion ≈ 12.6% CV (IQR-filtered n=33)
Cross-market gap9/20
Market gap magnitude ≈ 18.6% (US ref vs JP sold USD)
Data confidence9/15
Confidence MODERATE
This score describes observed market conditions. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. See Market Signal (Ana Score).
Data Sources
- Japan: Mercari, Yahoo! Auctions / Shopping, Rakuten — sold n=107 (30d n=107), active n=5
- US: TCGplayer market (n=1)
- FX: ¥156.17 / $1 · as of 2026-09-06
Sample Japan sold titles
- ¥100,000 — リザードンex SAR SV2a ポケモンカード151 201/165
- ¥100,200 — ニ*ー様 リザードンex SAR SV2a ポケモンカード151 201/165
- ¥47,777 — リザードンex SAR SV2a ポケモンカード151 201/165
- ¥102,000 — リザードンex SAR SV2a ポケモンカード151 201/165
- ¥59,500 — リザードンex SAR SV2a ポケモンカード151 201/165
Sample US eBay titles
- $393.22 — Charizard ex 201/165 SV2a Pokémon Card 151 (TCGPlayer Foil market)
Methodology → /en/methodology
Methodology (short)
- Medians over means (outlier-resistant)
- Raw vs graded never mixed
- Sold vs Listed never treated as equivalent
- Periodic updates; markets may move between updates
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